Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Hartman 44.0% (+16.5%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 67.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McCarron
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
42.6% (495)
+20.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
38.5% (26)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
48.8% (43)
-4.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCarron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCarron shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hartman
Home
59.5% (42)
43.4% (288)
Away
59.4% (64)
42.4% (276)
By Period
McCarron
Hartman
P1
71.0%
43.1%
P2
48.7%
43.4%
P3
61.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%