Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Frost 48.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 70.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 65.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 6: Zibanejad 5-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
0
Zibanejad
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
47.4% (426)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
63.9% (36)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
20.0% (5)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
55.2% (656)
51.1% (221)
Away
49.6% (682)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
56.3%
47.5%
P2
50.0%
52.3%
P3
51.2%
44.7%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |