Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.2%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Frost 51.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Zibanejad
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
50.3% (825)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
54.9% (204)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
50.0% (4)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
55.1% (501)
50.7% (489)
Away
49.2% (555)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
57.5%
53.6%
P2
50.7%
47.8%
P3
47.9%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |