Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 66.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 70.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Zibanejad
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Zibanejad
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
48.6% (704)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
55.7% (115)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
25.0% (4)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
51.1% (536)
49.9% (399)
Away
47.6% (576)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
50.1%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
53.9%
P3
50.7%
42.7%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |