Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 67.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Zibanejad
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
54.9% (701)
-1.5%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
60.8% (166)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
100.0% (5)
-55.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
49.0% (429)
56.0% (443)
Away
54.1% (521)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
53.0%
58.9%
P2
51.1%
55.3%
P3
51.0%
54.0%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |