Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.3%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Frost 50.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 31-30 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 60.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
30
(61 meetings)
31
30
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
8
17
Zibanejad
Frost
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
15
6
Zibanejad
Frost
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
8
7
Zibanejad
Frost
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
49.4% (3,598)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
55.5% (625)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
52.8% (36)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
51.6% (7,566)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
51.1%
P3
49.8%
48.5%
OT
48.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |