Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Paul 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 79.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Zibanejad
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Zibanejad
Paul
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
2
Zibanejad
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
3
Zibanejad
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
53.0% (644)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
37.5% (24)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
42.9% (177)
-7.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Paul
Home
55.2% (656)
52.5% (516)
Away
49.6% (682)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Zibanejad
Paul
P1
56.3%
47.6%
P2
50.0%
48.4%
P3
51.2%
54.5%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |