Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 61.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Zibanejad
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Paul
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Zibanejad
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Zibanejad
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
53.8% (753)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
58.9% (90)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
47.4% (78)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Paul
Home
49.0% (681)
54.2% (450)
Away
49.9% (717)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Zibanejad
Paul
P1
49.9%
58.2%
P2
47.6%
50.6%
P3
51.1%
52.9%
OT
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |