Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Paul 53.3% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Zibanejad
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
53.2% (327)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
61.4% (57)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
50.0% (32)
-5.3%
On power play, Paul has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Paul
Home
49.0% (429)
54.6% (183)
Away
54.1% (521)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Zibanejad
Paul
P1
53.0%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
54.8%
P3
51.0%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%