Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Paul 50.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Zibanejad
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Zibanejad
Paul
Last 8: Zibanejad 6-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
0
Zibanejad
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Zibanejad
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Zibanejad
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
48.8% (666)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
53.8% (65)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
60.0% (55)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Paul
Home
55.1% (501)
49.7% (348)
Away
49.2% (555)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Zibanejad
Paul
P1
57.5%
51.0%
P2
50.7%
47.4%
P3
47.9%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |