Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Backlund 50.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 20-5 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 86.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 83.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
20
(25 meetings)
5
20
McDavid
Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 1-9 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
6
McDavid
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McDavid
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
13
McDavid
Backlund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
51.1% (1,070)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
50.5% (91)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
45.2% (248)
-9.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
42.8% (451)
49.3% (702)
Away
40.0% (458)
50.7% (708)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
38.0%
46.3%
P2
44.9%
53.8%
P3
41.7%
49.9%
OT
20.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
41.4%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2018 | OT | 03:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |