Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Backlund 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 51.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
19
(37 meetings)
18
19
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
8
Miller
Backlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
7
Miller
Backlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
4
Miller
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
53.2% (602)
+1.7%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
56.1% (66)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
39.0% (77)
+9.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
55.4% (294)
51.5% (400)
Away
50.0% (232)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
56.4%
P3
60.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| May 16, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |