Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Backlund 51.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Evans
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Evans
Backlund
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Evans
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
53.2% (602)
-1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.1% (66)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
39.0% (77)
+2.0%
On power play, Evans has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Evans shoots right. Backlund is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Evans
Backlund
Home
54.3% (223)
51.5% (400)
Away
45.1% (182)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Evans
Backlund
P1
53.9%
50.0%
P2
44.9%
56.4%
P3
52.5%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |