Mikael Backlund vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 61 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 49.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 96-93 in 189 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 62.3%
Defensive zone Backlund 71.6%
Neutral zone Backlund 59.7%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Backlund MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
96 - 93 (189 meetings)
96
93
Backlund MacKinnon
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
26
30
Backlund MacKinnon
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
36
25
Backlund MacKinnon
61 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
34
38
Backlund MacKinnon
72 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
42.8% (502)
+1.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +3.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Backlund
MacKinnon
Home
49.7% (8,565)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Backlund
MacKinnon
P1
48.5%
47.4%
P2
50.3%
46.6%
P3
48.4%
46.1%
OT
44.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 31, 2025 3 01:08 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 2 07:59 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 2 02:14 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 1 15:28 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 1 11:34 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 1 07:44 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 3 12:53 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 18:44 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 18:33 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 2 17:57 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 12:40 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 12:35 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 01:20 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 19:26 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 12:51 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 10:41 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 1 08:06 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 1 00:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 12, 2024 2 18:27 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon