Mikael Backlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Backlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Backlund
MacKinnon
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Backlund
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
5
Backlund
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
45.8% (755)
+5.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
48.3% (60)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
27.6% (29)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Backlund
MacKinnon
Home
51.6% (653)
49.5% (396)
Away
49.3% (576)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Backlund
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
50.2%
P2
49.8%
43.8%
P3
51.7%
41.4%
OT
53.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |