Mikael Backlund vs Nathan MacKinnon

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 48.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 74.0%
Defensive zone Backlund 81.2%
Neutral zone Backlund 56.1%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Backlund MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 13 (19 meetings)
6
13
Backlund MacKinnon
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
6
Backlund MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
Backlund MacKinnon
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
49.2% (1,266)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
54.9% (193)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
49.1% (55)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +8.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Backlund
MacKinnon
Home
48.7% (749)
50.9% (740)
Away
48.1% (703)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Backlund
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
50.9%
P2
50.1%
51.8%
P3
45.8%
47.1%
OT
30.8%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
48.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 31, 2025 3 01:08 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 2 07:59 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 2 02:14 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 1 15:28 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 31, 2025 1 11:34 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 31, 2025 1 07:44 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 3 12:53 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 18:44 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 18:33 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 2 17:57 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 12:40 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 12:35 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 2 01:20 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 19:26 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 12:51 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2025 1 10:41 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 1 08:06 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Feb 6, 2025 1 00:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon