Mikael Backlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 78.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 94.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Backlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Backlund
MacKinnon
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Backlund
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
8
3
Backlund
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
1
Backlund
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
44.7% (1,053)
+7.2%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
36.8% (95)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
65.0% (20)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Backlund
MacKinnon
Home
51.9% (673)
49.4% (553)
Away
49.9% (713)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Backlund
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
45.3%
P2
50.5%
42.7%
P3
51.4%
45.1%
OT
35.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |