Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Dowd 53.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 84.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Backlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backlund
Dowd
Last 8: Backlund 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Backlund
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Backlund
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
55.4% (771)
-3.9%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
57.1% (7)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
45.5% (165)
-0.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dowd
Home
51.6% (653)
58.2% (462)
Away
49.3% (576)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Backlund
Dowd
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
49.8%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
53.9%
OT
53.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |