Mikael Backlund vs Nic Dowd

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 49.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor Dowd leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 68.3%
Defensive zone Backlund 57.6%
Neutral zone Dowd 51.1%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Backlund Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
19 - 21 (40 meetings)
19
21
Backlund Dowd
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Dowd

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
3
Backlund Dowd
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
13
Backlund Dowd
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Backlund Dowd
10 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
52.4% (6,009)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
56.1% (164)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dowd
Home
49.7% (8,565)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Backlund
Dowd
P1
48.5%
51.7%
P2
50.3%
50.4%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
44.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%
48.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 23, 2026 3 11:54 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 25, 2025 1 07:58 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 28, 2025 3 18:55 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 28, 2025 2 19:13 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 28, 2025 2 12:05 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 28, 2025 1 19:35 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 18, 2024 3 17:22 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 18, 2024 3 10:28 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 18, 2024 3 10:09 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 18, 2024 3 07:08 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 18, 2024 3 05:27 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 18, 2024 3 05:06 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 18, 2024 1 16:21 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2023 3 05:43 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2023 2 12:59 Neutral Nic Dowd
Oct 16, 2023 1 16:48 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 25, 2022 3 09:18 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 25, 2022 2 11:37 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 25, 2022 2 06:36 Neutral Nic Dowd
Nov 25, 2022 2 03:12 Offensive Mikael Backlund