Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Backlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Dowd
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Backlund
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Backlund
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
55.2% (625)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
57.1% (7)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
38.2% (220)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dowd
Home
51.9% (673)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.9% (713)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Backlund
Dowd
P1
51.4%
48.8%
P2
50.5%
49.3%
P3
51.4%
54.0%
OT
35.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |