Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Dowd 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 76.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Backlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Dowd
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Backlund
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.2% (835)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
60.0% (10)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
44.0% (350)
-3.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dowd
Home
48.7% (749)
51.5% (619)
Away
48.1% (703)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Backlund
Dowd
P1
50.4%
51.7%
P2
50.1%
51.6%
P3
45.8%
47.0%
OT
30.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |