Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Suzuki 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
5
Backlund
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Backlund
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (712)
50.5% (701)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
50.0% (212)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (217)
34.5% (55)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
49.0% (449)
49.6% (486)
Away
51.8% (531)
49.4% (482)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
46.9%
51.1%
P2
54.7%
46.0%
P3
49.4%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |