Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
3
Backlund
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
8
2
Backlund
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
50.3% (1,075)
+1.2%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
49.3% (219)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
43.1% (116)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
51.6% (653)
53.6% (711)
Away
49.3% (576)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
49.8%
51.7%
P3
51.7%
49.0%
OT
53.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | OT | 00:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |