Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 83.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
51.3% (1,096)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
59.9% (157)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
56.9% (58)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
51.2% (782)
54.2% (638)
Away
49.4% (765)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
51.5%
51.5%
P2
49.8%
53.3%
P3
49.9%
52.4%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |