Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Backlund
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
3
Backlund
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
47.0% (1,066)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
49.5% (204)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
46.6% (131)
-2.3%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
51.9% (673)
49.4% (686)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
45.6%
P2
50.5%
46.9%
P3
51.4%
49.8%
OT
35.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |