Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 72.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 65.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
10
Backlund
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
2
Backlund
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Backlund
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.4% (981)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
50.7% (304)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
36.4% (33)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
48.7% (749)
53.2% (645)
Away
48.1% (703)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
50.4%
48.9%
P2
50.1%
51.5%
P3
45.8%
54.9%
OT
30.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |