Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 75.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
5
Backlund
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Backlund
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
51.3% (904)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
49.8% (265)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
36.8% (57)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
48.1% (580)
50.6% (603)
Away
51.1% (653)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
45.1%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
49.0%
51.1%
OT
46.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |