Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Backlund wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 32-11 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 79.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 95.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 94.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
11
(43 meetings)
32
11
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
6
Backlund
Suzuki
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
3
Backlund
Suzuki
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
2
Backlund
Suzuki
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
43.8% (623)
+9.4%
Power Play
56.1% (66)
48.1% (129)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
34.1% (44)
+4.9%
On even strength, Backlund has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
51.5% (400)
44.8% (364)
Away
52.5% (345)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
45.8%
P2
56.4%
42.3%
P3
48.9%
43.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |