Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Roy 48.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Backlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Backlund
Roy
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Backlund
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
3
Backlund
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Backlund
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
49.5% (746)
+2.0%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
50.7% (75)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
42.7% (110)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Backlund
Roy
Home
51.6% (653)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.3% (576)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Backlund
Roy
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
49.8%
44.6%
P3
51.7%
50.9%
OT
53.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |