Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Roy 47.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 71.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Backlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Backlund
Roy
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
4
Backlund
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
1
Backlund
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
47.5% (617)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
39.6% (53)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
46.4% (97)
-4.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Backlund
Roy
Home
51.2% (782)
47.2% (398)
Away
49.4% (765)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Backlund
Roy
P1
51.5%
48.6%
P2
49.8%
48.8%
P3
49.9%
43.9%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |