Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.7%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Roy 47.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 53.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Backlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Backlund
Roy
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Backlund
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
48.6% (679)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
48.0% (50)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
34.7% (49)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Backlund
Roy
Home
48.7% (749)
49.3% (345)
Away
48.1% (703)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Backlund
Roy
P1
50.4%
47.6%
P2
50.1%
47.1%
P3
45.8%
47.9%
OT
30.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |