Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Zacha 50.1% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 60.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Backlund
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
48.0% (296)
+3.5%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
61.0% (59)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
50.0% (22)
-4.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Backlund
Zacha
Home
51.6% (653)
48.9% (223)
Away
49.3% (576)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Backlund
Zacha
P1
50.0%
47.9%
P2
49.8%
48.3%
P3
51.7%
54.3%
OT
53.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%