Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Zacha 46.5% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Backlund
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
45.3% (247)
+6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
58.1% (31)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
22.2% (18)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Backlund
Zacha
Home
51.9% (673)
39.7% (131)
Away
49.9% (713)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Backlund
Zacha
P1
51.4%
42.9%
P2
50.5%
46.4%
P3
51.4%
42.3%
OT
35.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%