Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Backlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Backlund
Zacha
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
8
Backlund
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
53.9% (787)
-2.9%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
63.2% (193)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
44.3% (88)
-2.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Backlund
Zacha
Home
51.2% (782)
56.7% (538)
Away
49.4% (765)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Backlund
Zacha
P1
51.5%
52.6%
P2
49.8%
54.8%
P3
49.9%
56.8%
OT
37.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |