Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Hartman 43.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 73.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Backlund
Hartman
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Backlund
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Backlund
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (712)
42.4% (618)
+8.9%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
45.9% (61)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (217)
40.0% (15)
+7.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
49.0% (449)
41.9% (372)
Away
51.8% (531)
43.5% (322)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
46.9%
41.3%
P2
54.7%
40.8%
P3
49.4%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |