Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Backlund
Hartman
Last 9: Backlund 5-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Backlund
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
44.8% (936)
+6.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
49.4% (154)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
33.3% (54)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
51.6% (653)
47.4% (568)
Away
49.3% (576)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
49.8%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
43.8%
OT
53.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |