Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Hartman 44.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Backlund
Hartman
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Backlund
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Backlund
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
42.6% (495)
+9.3%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
38.5% (26)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
48.8% (43)
-4.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
51.9% (673)
43.4% (288)
Away
49.9% (713)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
51.4%
43.1%
P2
50.5%
43.4%
P3
51.4%
42.0%
OT
35.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |