Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Hartman 45.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 75.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Backlund
Hartman
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Backlund
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Backlund
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
44.8% (830)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
47.8% (92)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
37.5% (16)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
48.1% (580)
45.0% (515)
Away
51.1% (653)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
45.1%
46.5%
P2
54.7%
39.9%
P3
49.0%
48.6%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |