Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Hartman 48.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Backlund
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
48.1% (520)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
44.7% (47)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
47.8% (23)
-7.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
48.7% (749)
48.3% (360)
Away
48.1% (703)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
50.4%
48.5%
P2
50.1%
45.2%
P3
45.8%
49.6%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%