Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs McLeod 47.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 62.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
McLeod
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
47.8% (448)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
48.1% (52)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
36.0% (25)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
51.6% (653)
46.6% (253)
Away
49.3% (576)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
50.0%
43.9%
P2
49.8%
45.9%
P3
51.7%
52.1%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |