Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs McLeod 48.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 66.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 66.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Backlund
McLeod
Last 10: Backlund 1-9 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Backlund
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Backlund
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.0% (500)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
43.8% (48)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
44.0% (50)
+0.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
51.9% (673)
50.9% (291)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
51.4%
44.3%
P2
50.5%
52.4%
P3
51.4%
47.8%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |