Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.8%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backlund
McLeod
Last 6: Backlund 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Backlund
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
51.3% (628)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
68.3% (41)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
30.6% (49)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
51.2% (782)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.4% (765)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
51.5%
51.5%
P2
49.8%
47.0%
P3
49.9%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |