Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs McLeod 47.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 55.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
49.2% (796)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
44.8% (87)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
43.3% (263)
+4.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
48.1% (580)
49.2% (575)
Away
51.1% (653)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
54.7%
45.1%
P3
49.0%
45.6%
OT
46.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |