Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Backlund
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.9% (904)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
57.6% (59)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
49.0% (241)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
48.7% (749)
51.8% (612)
Away
48.1% (703)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
50.4%
55.4%
P2
50.1%
50.8%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
OT
30.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |