Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
6
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
51.0% (408)
+0.0%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
0.0% (6)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
35.9% (78)
+6.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (782)
50.8% (258)
Away
49.4% (765)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.5%
51.6%
P2
49.8%
45.2%
P3
49.9%
47.6%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |