Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 86.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 82.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Backlund 5-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
45.4% (527)
+6.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
41.2% (17)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
44.9% (138)
-0.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.9% (673)
46.1% (336)
Away
49.9% (713)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
49.1%
P2
50.5%
45.3%
P3
51.4%
42.0%
OT
35.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |