Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Poehling 46.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 51.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (712)
48.4% (440)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
50.0% (6)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (217)
39.4% (132)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
49.0% (449)
48.2% (222)
Away
51.8% (531)
45.2% (356)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
46.9%
54.1%
P2
54.7%
40.5%
P3
49.4%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |