Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Poehling 50.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 63.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Poehling
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.6% (622)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
58.3% (12)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
39.8% (103)
+0.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
48.7% (749)
53.2% (393)
Away
48.1% (703)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
50.4%
50.9%
P2
50.1%
56.2%
P3
45.8%
46.1%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |