Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Poehling 47.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 56.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Poehling
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Backlund
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
45.1% (437)
+6.4%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
56.4% (39)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
61.5% (13)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
51.6% (653)
46.6% (232)
Away
49.3% (576)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
50.0%
43.9%
P2
49.8%
49.1%
P3
51.7%
46.4%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |