Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Poehling 49.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Poehling
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
50.4% (752)
+0.6%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
37.0% (27)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
45.3% (159)
-3.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
51.2% (782)
51.2% (467)
Away
49.4% (765)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
51.5%
54.6%
P2
49.8%
46.7%
P3
49.9%
46.7%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |